Scoring Analysis

Final

2026-05-2006:45Nationals Park

Mets

Away

6-9

Nationals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	3	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6	10	2
Nationals	0	4	3	2	0	0	0	0	X	9	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp

Inn.3

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.4

Mets scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Nationals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Nationals defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Nationals offense × Mets defense

35%R 45% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp

Last 20 70% · Season 59% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

+5pp

4–6 Middle

53%

-2pp

7–9 Late

54%

+2pp

F5 first five

56%

+3pp

F9 full game

55%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

47 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 192Runs Allowed 199

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

48 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 262Runs Allowed 284

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	#326% 12/47	#132% 15/47	15% 7/47	26% 12/47	26% 12/47	#228% 13/47	23% 11/47	23% 11/47	12% 5/40	64% 9/14
Mets	RA	#232% 15/47	26% 12/47	#332% 15/47	15% 7/47	13% 6/47	#138% 18/47	23% 11/47	26% 12/47	22% 8/37	57% 8/14
Nationals	R	#135% 17/48	23% 11/48	31% 15/48	#235% 17/48	29% 14/48	29% 14/48	#335% 17/48	27% 13/48	22% 9/40	58% 7/12
Nationals	RA	27% 13/48	27% 13/48	35% 17/48	#140% 19/48	#238% 18/48	23% 11/48	35% 17/48	31% 15/48	#336% 14/39	67% 8/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.