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Final
2021-06-0307:20Truist Park
5-3
Braves
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Nationals010020011591
Braves010000200371

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Braves scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +30pp
#2
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Braves scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#3
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 29%
Braves scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Braves defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Braves offense × Nationals defense
50%R 50% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +30pp
Last 20 85% · Season 64% · +21pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
63%
+10pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+6pp
7–9 Late
59%
+7pp
F5 first five
59%
+6pp
F9 full game
61%
+8pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

51 games
0102132433334113272283133317415345232261419724188131293610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 199Runs Allowed 220

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

52 games
01530456048321282122036315254362753434633307242781116951110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 254Runs Allowed 259
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR27% 14/5120% 10/51#131% 16/51#229% 15/5116% 8/5127% 14/5120% 10/51#328% 13/4622% 8/3650% 2/4
RA#135% 18/5124% 12/51#233% 17/5122% 11/5131% 16/5127% 14/5125% 13/5124% 11/46#332% 11/34100% 4/4
BravesR#337% 19/5225% 13/5225% 13/5219% 10/52#140% 21/5235% 18/52#238% 20/5225% 12/4822% 8/3725% 2/8
RA29% 15/5231% 16/52#138% 20/5223% 12/5225% 13/5231% 16/52#235% 18/52#333% 16/4826% 10/3988% 7/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.