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Final
2021-06-0302:20Wrigley Field
Padres
Away
1-6
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Padres scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.5
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.2
Padres scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 10%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Cubs defense
45%R 55% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Padres defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 75% · Season 67% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+9pp
7–9 Late
40%
-12pp
F5 first five
52%
-1pp
F9 full game
50%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

56 games
01531476327171282621926318134283255028631127291582189161010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 267Runs Allowed 187

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

54 games
013263953304212717239183243043322530396162373178118981010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 249Runs Allowed 216
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR25% 14/56#232% 18/5621% 12/5623% 13/5623% 13/56#145% 25/56#330% 17/5629% 16/5527% 10/3757% 8/14
RA18% 10/56#227% 15/56#327% 15/5616% 9/56#132% 18/5625% 14/5614% 8/5620% 11/5516% 7/4443% 6/14
CubsR#233% 18/5431% 17/54#141% 22/5426% 14/54#333% 18/5430% 16/5421% 11/5330% 16/5319% 7/3775% 6/8
RA#330% 16/5413% 7/5420% 11/54#231% 17/5424% 13/54#135% 19/5428% 15/548% 4/537% 3/4388% 7/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.