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Final
2021-06-0208:05Wrigley Field
Padres
Away
3-4
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Padres scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.5
Padres scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.3
Padres scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Cubs defense
48%R 60% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Padres defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 77% · Season 68% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+9pp
7–9 Late
41%
-11pp
F5 first five
52%
-1pp
F9 full game
51%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

55 games
01531476327171282421926318134253055028631127291582189161010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 264Runs Allowed 183

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

53 games
013263953304212517239183243043119530396162373178118981010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 245Runs Allowed 213
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR25% 14/55#233% 18/5522% 12/5524% 13/5522% 12/55#145% 25/55#331% 17/5530% 16/5428% 10/3657% 8/14
RA18% 10/55#325% 14/55#227% 15/5516% 9/55#131% 17/5525% 14/5515% 8/5520% 11/5416% 7/4443% 6/14
CubsR#234% 18/5330% 16/53#142% 22/5326% 14/53#332% 17/5330% 16/5321% 11/5231% 16/5219% 7/3775% 6/8
RA#330% 16/5313% 7/5321% 11/53#232% 17/5323% 12/53#136% 19/5328% 15/538% 4/527% 3/4288% 7/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.