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Final
2021-06-0105:10Truist Park
3-5
Braves
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals000300000370
Braves31000100X562

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Braves scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +22pp
#2
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Braves scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#3
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
24%
Own scoring 18%
Opponent allowing 30%
Braves scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Braves defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Braves offense × Nationals defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +22pp
Last 20 78% · Season 61% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
+7pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+6pp
7–9 Late
56%
+5pp
F5 first five
56%
+3pp
F9 full game
58%
+6pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

49 games
0102030403230113262273132617415315232161118722188131193610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 185Runs Allowed 209

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

50 games
01327415544311272122035315184332753334632277242581016951110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 243Runs Allowed 245
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR27% 13/4920% 10/49#131% 15/4927% 13/4916% 8/49#229% 14/4918% 9/49#327% 12/4424% 8/3450% 2/4
RA#233% 16/4922% 11/49#135% 17/4922% 11/49#331% 15/4927% 13/4924% 12/4925% 11/4430% 10/33100% 4/4
BravesR#334% 17/5024% 12/5026% 13/5020% 10/50#140% 20/5034% 17/50#238% 19/5026% 12/4619% 7/3625% 2/8
RA28% 14/5032% 16/50#138% 19/5020% 10/5026% 13/5032% 16/50#234% 17/50#333% 15/4627% 10/3788% 7/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.