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Final
2021-06-0102:20Wrigley Field
Padres
Away
2-7
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Padres scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#2
Inn.5
Padres scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.1
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Cubs defense
43%R 55% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Padres defense
25%R 30% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp
Last 20 68% · Season 66% · +2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+4pp
7–9 Late
43%
-9pp
F5 first five
50%
-2pp
F9 full game
50%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

54 games
01531466227171272421924318124252854927631117291582189161010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 262Runs Allowed 176

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

52 games
013263953304212516237183233042919529386152373178118981010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 238Runs Allowed 211
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR26% 14/54#231% 17/5422% 12/5424% 13/5422% 12/54#144% 24/54#331% 17/5430% 16/5329% 10/3557% 8/14
RA19% 10/54#226% 14/54#326% 14/5415% 8/54#130% 16/5424% 13/5413% 7/5421% 11/5316% 7/4443% 6/14
CubsR#235% 18/5231% 16/52#140% 21/5225% 13/5231% 16/5229% 15/5220% 10/51#331% 16/5119% 7/3775% 6/8
RA#331% 16/5212% 6/5221% 11/52#233% 17/5223% 12/52#135% 18/5229% 15/528% 4/517% 3/4188% 7/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.