Sportify
Final
2021-05-3102:20Wrigley Field
Reds
Away
5-1
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Reds scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.5
Reds scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.1
Reds scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Cubs defense
32%R 45% · RA 20%
Cubs offense × Reds defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 68% · Season 61% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
55%
+2pp
7–9 Late
45%
-6pp
F5 first five
55%
+2pp
F9 full game
52%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

50 games
013263953223511217238323214243026527276242973528812209191410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 240Runs Allowed 270

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

51 games
012243649303912516237183232842919529386152373078118981010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 237Runs Allowed 206
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
RedsR22% 11/5016% 8/50#134% 17/5020% 10/5028% 14/50#330% 15/5026% 13/50#233% 16/4915% 6/4191% 10/11
RA#136% 18/5028% 14/5026% 13/50#232% 16/50#330% 15/5030% 15/5030% 15/5024% 12/4929% 10/3436% 4/11
CubsR#235% 18/51#331% 16/51#141% 21/5125% 13/5131% 16/5129% 15/5120% 10/5030% 15/5019% 7/3675% 6/8
RA#329% 15/5112% 6/5122% 11/51#231% 16/5124% 12/51#135% 18/5129% 15/518% 4/508% 3/4088% 7/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.