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Final
2021-05-3101:10Tropicana Field
2-6
Rays
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Phillies scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Rays scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.6
Phillies scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 15%
Rays scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 55%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.1
Phillies scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Rays defense
22%R 25% · RA 20%
Rays offense × Phillies defense
48%R 50% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 70% · Season 57% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-2pp
7–9 Late
54%
+2pp
F5 first five
46%
-6pp
F9 full game
51%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

52 games
0122436493533124142241931323420245202562031726398171298610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 207Runs Allowed 226

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

53 games
012253750282112419227243192943523528156222574022825159161410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 264Runs Allowed 207
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#133% 17/5227% 14/5225% 13/5215% 8/5221% 11/52#229% 15/5225% 13/5220% 10/51#327% 10/3767% 4/6
RA29% 15/5213% 7/5223% 12/5217% 9/5221% 11/52#235% 18/52#331% 16/51#137% 19/5121% 8/3850% 3/6
RaysR28% 15/5317% 9/5326% 14/5317% 9/53#332% 17/5330% 16/5328% 15/53#234% 18/53#137% 15/4155% 6/11
RA23% 12/53#225% 13/5323% 12/53#130% 16/53#325% 13/5321% 11/5325% 13/5323% 12/5322% 11/4964% 7/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.