Sportify
Final
2021-05-3101:10Progressive Field
Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays0012001--4100
Guardians0000100--140

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Guardians scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 36%
Opponent allowing 29%
Guardians scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 24%
Opponent allowing 33%
Heating upCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Guardians scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Guardians defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Guardians offense × Blue Jays defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 70% · Season 59% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
61%
+8pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-2pp
7–9 Late
49%
-3pp
F5 first five
56%
+4pp
F9 full game
54%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

50 games
01224364928251393523921322274232853013619177281981712971510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 252Runs Allowed 212

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

49 games
011233547282511528215373233441116537962024724108131197410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 193Runs Allowed 198
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR32% 16/50#236% 18/50#336% 18/5024% 12/5028% 14/5034% 17/5028% 14/50#138% 17/4522% 8/3756% 5/9
RA#328% 14/50#230% 15/5020% 10/5024% 12/50#136% 18/5018% 9/5019% 9/4827% 12/4518% 6/3444% 4/9
GuardiansR#331% 15/4924% 12/4920% 10/4924% 12/4918% 9/49#143% 21/4917% 8/48#231% 15/4822% 9/4067% 4/6
RA27% 13/49#229% 14/49#139% 19/49#329% 14/4920% 10/4910% 5/4929% 14/4917% 8/4821% 8/3833% 2/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.