Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-3007:15Citi Field

Braves

Away

2-13

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Braves	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	2	5	2
Mets	1	0	1	0	2	7	2	0	X	13	13	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.8

Braves scoring tendency

46%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 53%

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +27pp

Inn.6

Braves scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.7

Braves scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

37%

Own scoring 39%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Braves offense × Mets defense

46%R 40% · RA 53%

Mets offense × Braves defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Sample 17Combined vs league +27pp

Last 20 82% · Season 58% · +24pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

46%

-7pp

4–6 Middle

50%

-3pp

7–9 Late

63%

+11pp

F5 first five

45%

-7pp

F9 full game

53%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

49 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 241Runs Allowed 232

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

45 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 154Runs Allowed 162

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Braves	R	#335% 17/49	24% 12/49	27% 13/49	20% 10/49	#141% 20/49	33% 16/49	#239% 19/49	24% 11/45	20% 7/35	25% 2/8
Braves	RA	27% 13/49	#333% 16/49	#137% 18/49	20% 10/49	24% 12/49	31% 15/49	33% 16/49	#233% 15/45	27% 10/37	88% 7/8
Mets	R	18% 8/45	13% 6/45	#327% 12/45	#229% 13/45	22% 10/45	22% 10/45	#131% 13/42	26% 10/38	27% 8/30	40% 2/5
Mets	RA	16% 7/45	#231% 14/45	16% 7/45	20% 9/45	#327% 12/45	27% 12/45	16% 7/43	#132% 12/38	21% 6/28	40% 2/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.