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Final
2021-05-3002:20Wrigley Field
Reds
Away
2-10
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Reds000002000251
Cubs02000413X10131

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Reds scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.5
Reds scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.1
Reds scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Cubs defense
32%R 45% · RA 20%
Cubs offense × Reds defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 68% · Season 63% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
+0pp
4–6 Middle
55%
+2pp
7–9 Late
43%
-9pp
F5 first five
55%
+3pp
F9 full game
50%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

49 games
013263953223511215238323214243026525236242873525812209191410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 238Runs Allowed 260

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

50 games
012243649303912316237183232842919525366142372778118981010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 227Runs Allowed 204
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
RedsR22% 11/4916% 8/49#135% 17/4920% 10/49#329% 14/4929% 14/4927% 13/49#233% 16/4815% 6/4091% 10/11
RA#137% 18/4927% 13/4927% 13/49#233% 16/49#331% 15/4929% 14/4929% 14/4923% 11/4829% 10/3436% 4/11
CubsR#236% 18/5030% 15/50#142% 21/5026% 13/50#332% 16/5028% 14/5018% 9/4929% 14/4919% 7/3675% 6/8
RA#330% 15/5012% 6/5022% 11/50#232% 16/5024% 12/50#134% 17/5030% 15/508% 4/498% 3/3988% 7/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.