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Final
2021-05-2908:10
Padres
Away
10-3
Astros
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Astros00020000010372

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 32%
Opponent allowing 45%
Astros scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 26%
Heating upCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.7
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Astros scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.6
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 20%
Astros scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Astros defense
38%R 32% · RA 45%
Astros offense × Padres defense
36%R 45% · RA 26%
Sample 19Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 74% · Season 55% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
+0pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-0pp
7–9 Late
60%
+9pp
F5 first five
52%
-0pp
F9 full game
55%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

51 games
01530456027131272421821318842425548266311172615815893710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 237Runs Allowed 158

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

49 games
0112335473115129122232133426425285172262722737308271895610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 255Runs Allowed 200
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR27% 14/51#233% 17/5122% 11/5125% 13/5122% 11/51#145% 23/51#333% 17/5128% 14/5025% 8/3233% 3/9
RA18% 9/51#227% 14/51#325% 13/5112% 6/51#129% 15/5124% 12/5114% 7/5122% 11/5017% 7/4233% 3/9
AstrosR#333% 16/4933% 16/4916% 8/49#241% 20/4929% 14/4920% 10/4931% 15/4927% 13/49#143% 15/3560% 3/5
RA22% 11/4914% 7/49#133% 16/4927% 13/49#331% 15/4922% 11/4927% 13/49#233% 16/4929% 12/4160% 3/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.