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Final
2021-05-2404:10Petco Park
2-9
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Mariners scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 32%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 21%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.1
Mariners scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.5
Mariners scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Padres defense
38%R 45% · RA 32%
Padres offense × Mariners defense
28%R 21% · RA 35%
Sample 19Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 66% · Season 55% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
50%
-3pp
7–9 Late
52%
+0pp
F5 first five
52%
-1pp
F9 full game
52%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

46 games
0132741551723112322252631822417445211461520728278151196 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 174Runs Allowed 219

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

46 games
0122537502613126222162031854242254026625772215812792610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 211Runs Allowed 143
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#330% 14/4615% 7/46#235% 16/4624% 11/4624% 11/4620% 9/4620% 9/46#135% 15/4325% 8/32100% 3/3
RA22% 10/46#235% 16/46#333% 15/4626% 12/46#137% 17/4620% 9/4628% 13/4626% 11/4330% 9/300% 0/3
PadresR28% 13/46#235% 16/4622% 10/4628% 13/4624% 11/46#143% 20/46#333% 15/4624% 11/4525% 7/2829% 2/7
RA20% 9/46#128% 13/46#326% 12/4611% 5/46#228% 13/4626% 12/4611% 5/4624% 11/4516% 6/3829% 2/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.