Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-2401:10loanDepot park

Mets

Away

1-5

Marlins

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	6	1
Marlins	0	5	0	0	0	0	0	0	X	5	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.8

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 33%

Opponent allowing 30%

Marlins scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 50%

Heating upCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.7

Mets scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 10%

Marlins scoring tendency

33%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 21%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -0pp

Inn.6

Mets scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 10%

Marlins scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Marlins defense

32%R 33% · RA 30%

Marlins offense × Mets defense

38%R 25% · RA 50%

Sample 18Combined vs league +14pp

Last 20 69% · Season 53% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

44%

-9pp

4–6 Middle

44%

-9pp

7–9 Late

51%

-1pp

F5 first five

44%

-9pp

F9 full game

46%

-7pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

40 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 143Runs Allowed 151

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

46 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 183Runs Allowed 175

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	15% 6/40	15% 6/40	#328% 11/40	#230% 12/40	25% 10/40	20% 8/40	#131% 12/39	26% 9/35	25% 7/28	40% 2/5
Mets	RA	18% 7/40	28% 11/40	18% 7/40	18% 7/40	#230% 12/40	#330% 12/40	16% 6/38	#134% 12/35	23% 6/26	40% 2/5
Marlins	R	#226% 12/46	#326% 12/46	15% 7/46	20% 9/46	24% 11/46	24% 11/46	#133% 15/46	24% 11/46	23% 9/39	62% 5/8
Marlins	RA	20% 9/46	17% 8/46	#322% 10/46	22% 10/46	#135% 16/46	13% 6/46	17% 8/46	22% 10/46	#223% 8/35	50% 4/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.