Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-2401:10Progressive Field

Twins

Away

8-5

Guardians

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Twins	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0	3	8	7	0
Guardians	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0	5	12	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Twins scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 45%

Guardians scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.6

Twins scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 10%

Guardians scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.1

Twins scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Guardians scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Twins offense × Guardians defense

45%R 45% · RA 45%

Guardians offense × Twins defense

22%R 20% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp

Last 20 68% · Season 62% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

64%

+11pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+4pp

7–9 Late

43%

-9pp

F5 first five

60%

+7pp

F9 full game

55%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

45 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 205Runs Allowed 232

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

43 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 171Runs Allowed 170

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Twins	R	#333% 15/45	29% 13/45	#240% 18/45	18% 8/45	24% 11/45	33% 15/45	20% 9/45	#149% 19/39	12% 4/33	12% 1/8
Twins	RA	29% 13/45	#333% 15/45	24% 11/45	24% 11/45	#236% 16/45	#138% 17/45	19% 8/42	31% 12/39	27% 9/33	100% 8/8
Guardians	R	#326% 11/43	26% 11/43	21% 9/43	26% 11/43	19% 8/43	#144% 19/43	16% 7/43	#233% 14/43	20% 7/35	80% 4/5
Guardians	RA	#230% 13/43	28% 12/43	#140% 17/43	#330% 13/43	21% 9/43	9% 4/43	28% 12/43	16% 7/43	18% 6/34	20% 1/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.