Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-2401:05Citizens Bank Park

Red Sox

Away

2-6

Phillies

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Red Sox	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	0
Phillies	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	X	6	10	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Red Sox scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 50%

Phillies scoring tendency

50%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 65%

Sustained highCombined vs league +39pp

Inn.1

Red Sox scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.2

Red Sox scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 20%

Phillies scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Phillies defense

45%R 40% · RA 50%

Phillies offense × Red Sox defense

50%R 35% · RA 65%

Sample 20Combined vs league +39pp

Last 20 95% · Season 73% · +22pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+8pp

4–6 Middle

60%

+7pp

7–9 Late

50%

-2pp

F5 first five

54%

+1pp

F9 full game

57%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

47 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 247Runs Allowed 196

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

46 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 185Runs Allowed 204

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Red Sox	R	32% 15/47	#136% 17/47	28% 13/47	#236% 17/47	28% 13/47	#336% 17/47	28% 13/47	30% 13/43	23% 7/31	67% 4/6
Red Sox	RA	#236% 17/47	26% 12/47	17% 8/47	#330% 14/47	28% 13/47	#143% 20/47	26% 12/47	28% 12/43	26% 10/38	67% 4/6
Phillies	R	#135% 16/46	#328% 13/46	24% 11/46	13% 6/46	20% 9/46	#233% 15/46	26% 12/46	20% 9/45	25% 8/32	67% 4/6
Phillies	RA	30% 14/46	13% 6/46	22% 10/46	20% 9/46	22% 10/46	#135% 16/46	#233% 15/45	#331% 14/45	20% 7/35	50% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.