Sportify
Final
2021-05-2401:05Nationals Park
5-6
Team123456789RHE
Orioles3010001005131
Nationals40011000X6110

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Orioles scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.9
Orioles scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 50%
Nationals scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 33%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#3
Inn.8
Orioles scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Nationals defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Nationals offense × Orioles defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 70% · Season 57% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+6pp
7–9 Late
59%
+8pp
F5 first five
57%
+4pp
F9 full game
59%
+6pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

45 games
011223345251811231229293182541836515276141872829817893410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 179Runs Allowed 225

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

42 games
081726352622113262252732316414285211661117722158121093610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 170Runs Allowed 183
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR#229% 13/4518% 8/4524% 11/4527% 12/4527% 12/4522% 10/4524% 11/45#131% 13/42#327% 10/3760% 3/5
RA22% 10/4529% 13/4529% 13/4531% 14/45#236% 16/45#336% 16/4522% 10/45#138% 16/4221% 7/3360% 3/5
NationalsR26% 11/4224% 10/42#131% 13/4224% 10/4217% 7/42#231% 13/4221% 9/42#330% 12/4022% 7/3250% 2/4
RA29% 12/4226% 11/42#133% 14/4224% 10/42#331% 13/4226% 11/4226% 11/4225% 10/40#231% 9/29100% 4/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.