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Final
2021-05-2308:40Petco Park
4-6
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Mariners scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 26%
Padres scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 26%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.1
Mariners scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.6
Mariners scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Padres defense
33%R 40% · RA 26%
Padres offense × Mariners defense
31%R 26% · RA 35%
Sample 19Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 64% · Season 54% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-1pp
7–9 Late
50%
-2pp
F5 first five
50%
-2pp
F9 full game
51%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

45 games
0122436491723112312242631822417395211461520727278131196 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 170Runs Allowed 213

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

45 games
0122537502613125222161931854192254026625772214812592610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 205Runs Allowed 139
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#331% 14/4516% 7/45#133% 15/4524% 11/4524% 11/4520% 9/4520% 9/45#233% 14/4223% 7/31100% 3/3
RA22% 10/45#233% 15/45#333% 15/4527% 12/45#136% 16/4520% 9/4529% 13/4526% 11/4230% 9/300% 0/3
PadresR29% 13/45#233% 15/4522% 10/4529% 13/4522% 10/45#144% 20/45#333% 15/4525% 11/4425% 7/2829% 2/7
RA20% 9/45#129% 13/4524% 11/4511% 5/45#229% 13/45#327% 12/4511% 5/4523% 10/4414% 5/3729% 2/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.