Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-2307:15Citizens Bank Park

Red Sox

Away

4-3

Phillies

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Red Sox	0	0	2	0	0	2	0	0	0	4	7	0
Phillies	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	0	3	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Red Sox scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 50%

Phillies scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 60%

Sustained highCombined vs league +32pp

Inn.1

Red Sox scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp

Inn.2

Red Sox scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 20%

Phillies scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Phillies defense

42%R 35% · RA 50%

Phillies offense × Red Sox defense

45%R 30% · RA 60%

Sample 20Combined vs league +32pp

Last 20 88% · Season 70% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

63%

+10pp

4–6 Middle

56%

+3pp

7–9 Late

49%

-3pp

F5 first five

54%

+1pp

F9 full game

56%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

46 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 243Runs Allowed 193

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

45 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 182Runs Allowed 200

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Red Sox	R	33% 15/46	#137% 17/46	26% 12/46	#237% 17/46	28% 13/46	#335% 16/46	28% 13/46	31% 13/42	23% 7/30	67% 4/6
Red Sox	RA	#237% 17/46	26% 12/46	17% 8/46	28% 13/46	28% 13/46	#141% 19/46	24% 11/46	#329% 12/42	27% 10/37	67% 4/6
Phillies	R	#136% 16/45	#329% 13/45	24% 11/45	11% 5/45	20% 9/45	#231% 14/45	24% 11/45	20% 9/44	26% 8/31	67% 4/6
Phillies	RA	31% 14/45	13% 6/45	20% 9/45	20% 9/45	22% 10/45	#233% 15/45	#134% 15/44	#332% 14/44	21% 7/34	50% 3/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.