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Final
2026-05-1906:40Tropicana Field
6-16
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Orioles0010301106121
Rays15024400X16181

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Orioles scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.3
Orioles scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.6
Orioles scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Rays defense
30%R 40% · RA 20%
Rays offense × Orioles defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 60% · Season 58% · +2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-4pp
7–9 Late
51%
-1pp
F5 first five
52%
-2pp
F9 full game
52%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

47 games
0112335471824114372172632625430325282063030720308161896710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.11.62.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 205Runs Allowed 249

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

45 games
0817253423141241821916320942019526276212371924818149171810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 207Runs Allowed 182
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR17% 8/4721% 10/4728% 13/47#236% 17/47#332% 15/4730% 14/47#138% 18/4723% 11/4731% 11/3550% 2/4
RA30% 14/47#236% 17/47#332% 15/4730% 14/47#138% 18/4723% 11/4730% 14/4732% 15/4725% 9/3675% 3/4
RaysR#231% 14/4524% 11/4529% 13/4529% 13/4524% 11/45#136% 16/4529% 13/45#331% 14/4526% 8/3182% 9/11
RA20% 9/45#324% 11/4524% 11/459% 4/4520% 9/45#229% 13/4520% 9/45#131% 14/4524% 9/3764% 7/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.