Sportify
Final
2021-05-2304:05Nationals Park
9-12
Team123456789RHE
Orioles5010100209121
Nationals01440300X12150

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Orioles scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 50%
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 19%
Opponent allowing 38%
Sustained highCombined vs league +22pp
#2
Inn.6
Orioles scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.8
Orioles scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Nationals defense
42%R 33% · RA 50%
Nationals offense × Orioles defense
28%R 19% · RA 38%
Sample 16Combined vs league +22pp
Last 20 70% · Season 52% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
56%
+3pp
7–9 Late
59%
+7pp
F5 first five
52%
-1pp
F9 full game
56%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

44 games
011223345201811230228253182141736515246141872629817893410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 170Runs Allowed 213

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

41 games
081725342617112262212631916414275181661117722138121093610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 158Runs Allowed 174
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR#327% 12/4418% 8/4423% 10/4427% 12/4425% 11/4423% 10/4425% 11/44#129% 12/41#228% 10/3660% 3/5
RA23% 10/4427% 12/4427% 12/4430% 13/44#236% 16/44#334% 15/4423% 10/44#139% 16/4121% 7/3360% 3/5
NationalsR27% 11/4122% 9/41#229% 12/4122% 9/4117% 7/41#329% 12/4122% 9/41#131% 12/3922% 7/3250% 2/4
RA27% 11/4127% 11/41#232% 13/4124% 10/41#329% 12/4127% 11/4127% 11/4123% 9/39#132% 9/28100% 4/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.