Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-2207:20Truist Park

Pirates

Away

1-20

Braves

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Pirates	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	11	0
Braves	1	4	0	1	3	1	2	8	X	20	20	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Pirates scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Braves scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.7

Pirates scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 55%

Braves scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.3

Pirates scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Braves scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Braves defense

32%R 25% · RA 40%

Braves offense × Pirates defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 68% · Season 59% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

55%

+2pp

7–9 Late

53%

+2pp

F5 first five

50%

-2pp

F9 full game

53%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

43 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 151Runs Allowed 199

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

44 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 200Runs Allowed 219

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Pirates	R	#126% 11/43	23% 10/43	16% 7/43	21% 9/43	#226% 11/43	21% 9/43	23% 10/43	#324% 10/41	14% 5/35	60% 3/5
Pirates	RA	#149% 21/43	#240% 17/43	#337% 16/43	21% 9/43	23% 10/43	35% 15/43	24% 10/42	24% 10/41	14% 4/28	40% 2/5
Braves	R	#330% 13/44	20% 9/44	25% 11/44	20% 9/44	#139% 17/44	30% 13/44	#239% 17/44	25% 10/40	18% 6/33	25% 2/8
Braves	RA	25% 11/44	34% 15/44	#139% 17/44	20% 9/44	27% 12/44	32% 14/44	#236% 16/44	#335% 14/40	27% 9/33	88% 7/8

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.