Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-2207:05Nationals Park

Orioles

Away

2-4

Nationals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Orioles	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	4	0
Nationals	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	1	X	4	12	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.8

Orioles scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.6

Orioles scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Nationals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.9

Orioles scoring tendency

36%

Own scoring 28%

Opponent allowing 44%

Nationals scoring tendency

26%

Own scoring 18%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Nationals defense

30%R 35% · RA 25%

Nationals offense × Orioles defense

35%R 25% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp

Last 20 65% · Season 60% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

55%

+2pp

4–6 Middle

56%

+3pp

7–9 Late

57%

+5pp

F5 first five

54%

+1pp

F9 full game

56%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

43 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 168Runs Allowed 209

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

40 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 154Runs Allowed 172

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Orioles	R	#228% 12/43	19% 8/43	23% 10/43	#328% 12/43	26% 11/43	23% 10/43	26% 11/43	#130% 12/40	26% 9/35	60% 3/5
Orioles	RA	23% 10/43	28% 12/43	28% 12/43	30% 13/43	#235% 15/43	#333% 14/43	23% 10/43	#138% 15/40	21% 7/33	60% 3/5
Nationals	R	#328% 11/40	22% 9/40	#130% 12/40	22% 9/40	15% 6/40	28% 11/40	22% 9/40	#229% 11/38	22% 7/32	50% 2/4
Nationals	RA	28% 11/40	28% 11/40	#132% 13/40	25% 10/40	#230% 12/40	28% 11/40	28% 11/40	24% 9/38	#330% 8/27	100% 4/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.