Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-2102:20Wrigley Field

Nationals

Away

2-5

Cubs

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	6	2
Cubs	0	1	2	1	1	0	0	0	X	5	10	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Nationals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Cubs scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.6

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Cubs scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.4

Nationals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Cubs scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Cubs defense

30%R 35% · RA 25%

Cubs offense × Nationals defense

42%R 50% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp

Last 20 72% · Season 64% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

64%

+11pp

7–9 Late

48%

-4pp

F5 first five

59%

+6pp

F9 full game

56%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

39 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 152Runs Allowed 167

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

42 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 193Runs Allowed 189

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	26% 10/39	23% 9/39	#131% 12/39	23% 9/39	15% 6/39	#328% 11/39	23% 9/39	#230% 11/37	23% 7/31	50% 2/4
Nationals	RA	#328% 11/39	26% 10/39	#131% 12/39	23% 9/39	28% 11/39	28% 11/39	28% 11/39	24% 9/37	#230% 8/27	100% 4/4
Cubs	R	#236% 15/42	31% 13/42	#143% 18/42	26% 11/42	29% 12/42	31% 13/42	20% 8/41	#332% 13/41	20% 6/30	71% 5/7
Cubs	RA	#331% 13/42	12% 5/42	24% 10/42	#136% 15/42	26% 11/42	#236% 15/42	29% 12/42	10% 4/41	9% 3/32	86% 6/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.