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Final
2021-05-2007:20Truist Park
Mets
Away
4-5
Braves
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Mets scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 28%
Opponent allowing 40%
Braves scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 44%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.6
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Braves scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.3
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Braves scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Braves defense
34%R 28% · RA 40%
Braves offense × Mets defense
42%R 40% · RA 44%
Sample 18Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 76% · Season 60% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
53%
+0pp
7–9 Late
55%
+3pp
F5 first five
48%
-5pp
F9 full game
52%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

37 games
071421291112113152171331619418235820617471723814891110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 132Runs Allowed 138

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

42 games
011223345362611820216333141542425527226292171423881595910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 191Runs Allowed 209
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR14% 5/3716% 6/37#230% 11/3727% 10/3727% 10/3722% 8/37#131% 11/3625% 8/32#328% 7/2550% 1/2
RA19% 7/3727% 10/3719% 7/3719% 7/37#330% 11/37#232% 12/3711% 4/35#134% 11/3217% 4/2350% 1/2
BravesR#331% 13/4219% 8/4226% 11/4221% 9/42#238% 16/4229% 12/42#140% 17/4224% 9/3816% 5/3129% 2/7
RA24% 10/42#336% 15/42#140% 17/4219% 8/4229% 12/4231% 13/4233% 14/42#237% 14/3829% 9/3186% 6/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.