Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-1907:45Busch Stadium

Pirates

Away

2-5

Cardinals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Pirates	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	6	0
Cardinals	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	X	5	11	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Pirates scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 20%

Cardinals scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Inn.3

Pirates scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 25%

Cardinals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Inn.6

Pirates scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cardinals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cardinals defense

20%R 20% · RA 20%

Cardinals offense × Pirates defense

40%R 40% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +5pp

Last 20 60% · Season 66% · -6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

+3pp

4–6 Middle

47%

-6pp

7–9 Late

44%

-8pp

F5 first five

51%

-1pp

F9 full game

49%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

40 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 138Runs Allowed 182

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

41 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 180Runs Allowed 166

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Pirates	R	#225% 10/40	#325% 10/40	18% 7/40	22% 9/40	25% 10/40	18% 7/40	20% 8/40	#126% 10/38	16% 5/32	50% 2/4
Pirates	RA	#148% 19/40	#335% 14/40	#238% 15/40	22% 9/40	22% 9/40	35% 14/40	26% 10/39	26% 10/38	15% 4/27	50% 2/4
Cardinals	R	#132% 13/41	#232% 13/41	#329% 12/41	20% 8/41	24% 10/41	24% 10/41	15% 6/40	26% 10/39	28% 8/29	67% 2/3
Cardinals	RA	27% 11/41	20% 8/41	27% 11/41	22% 9/41	#229% 12/41	#134% 14/41	#329% 12/41	23% 9/39	14% 4/29	0% 0/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.