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Final
2021-05-1907:40Wrigley Field
3-6
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Cubs defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Cubs offense × Nationals defense
40%R 50% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 70% · Season 62% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+5pp
7–9 Late
46%
-6pp
F5 first five
58%
+5pp
F9 full game
54%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

37 games
0715223024171122421922318154924516146111772112812793610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 145Runs Allowed 158

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

40 games
0112233442735118152301532125421155223361220718789896910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 184Runs Allowed 182
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#327% 10/3724% 9/37#230% 11/3722% 8/3711% 4/3727% 10/3724% 9/37#131% 11/3524% 7/2950% 2/4
RA#130% 11/3724% 9/37#230% 11/3724% 9/3724% 9/3727% 10/37#330% 11/3723% 8/3527% 7/26100% 4/4
CubsR#238% 15/4030% 12/40#142% 17/4028% 11/4025% 10/4030% 12/4021% 8/39#331% 12/3917% 5/2971% 5/7
RA#332% 13/4012% 5/4022% 9/40#135% 14/4022% 9/40#235% 14/4030% 12/4010% 4/3910% 3/3086% 6/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.