Sportify
Final
2026-05-1802:15Busch Stadium
Royals
Away
2-0
Team123456789RHE
Royals100100000290
Cardinals000000000051

Advanced Analysis

Pre-game data reference based on recent workload, pitcher roles, and hitting form. Not betting advice.

Postgame review
Through 2026-05-16 · 46 games. Pregame data is retained for postgame comparison.
RA/G
4.57
SP RA%
60%
BP RA%
40%
Pregame ready
6

Last 5 RA

2026-05-16
4
2026-05-15
5
2026-05-14
6
2026-05-13
6
2026-05-12
6

IP Share

SP 62%BP 38%
Denominator: current roster, 407.0 IP (1221 outs) this season

Pitcher Workload

Royals
Stephen Kolek
Stephen Kolek#32
RStarterGame starter
Ready
Season ERA
6.75
Season WHIP
1.13
Starter rest
4 days rest
Last: 94 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
53
+
Shaky form4 days rest fits a normal starter cycle
IP
3%
RA
5%
RA/IP
0.75
Rest
Ready
4 days rest
4.2 IP / 94 pitches
Inn.
1,2,3,4,5,6
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-05-124.2 IP5 ER5 RA94 P
2026-05-056.0 IP3 ER3 RA83 P
Lucas Erceg
Ready
Season ERA
3.44
Season WHIP
1.47
Bullpen rest
1 days rest
Last: 12 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
11000
+
Shaky formRecent workload looks normal
IP
6%
RA
5%
RA/IP
0.49
Rest
Ready
1 days rest
1.0 IP / 12 pitches
Inn.
8,9,10
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-05-151.0 IP0 ER1 RA12 P
2026-05-141.0 IP1 ER1 RA15 P
2026-05-081.0 IP0 ER0 RA14 P
2026-05-051.0 IP0 ER0 RA15 P
2026-05-021.0 IP0 ER0 RA17 P
John Schreiber
Ready
Season ERA
3.63
Season WHIP
1.50
Bullpen rest
1 days rest
Last: 1 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
01000
+
Good formRecent workload looks normal
IP
5%
RA
4%
RA/IP
0.40
Rest
Ready
1 days rest
0.1 IP / 1 pitches
Inn.
5,6,7,8,9,11
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-05-150.1 IP0 ER0 RA1 P
2026-05-131.0 IP1 ER1 RA18 P
2026-05-101.0 IP0 ER0 RA21 P
2026-05-081.0 IP0 ER0 RA12 P
2026-05-061.2 IP0 ER0 RA30 P
Nick Mears
Nick Mears#31
RHigh Lev
Ready
Season ERA
2.87
Season WHIP
1.34
Bullpen rest
1 days rest
Last: 16 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
02000
+
Average formRecent workload looks normal
IP
5%
RA
3%
RA/IP
0.32
Rest
Ready
1 days rest
1.0 IP / 16 pitches
Inn.
6,7,8,9
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-05-151.0 IP0 ER0 RA16 P
2026-05-100.2 IP2 ER2 RA12 P
2026-05-080.1 IP0 ER0 RA7 P
2026-05-071.0 IP0 ER0 RA23 P
2026-05-051.0 IP0 ER0 RA8 P
Alex Lange
Ready
Season ERA
5.23
Season WHIP
1.40
Bullpen rest
2 days rest
Last: 10 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
00011
+
Shaky formRecent workload looks normal
IP
6%
RA
8%
RA/IP
0.63
Rest
Ready
2 days rest
1.0 IP / 10 pitches
Inn.
4,5,6,7,8,9,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-05-141.0 IP0 ER0 RA10 P
2026-05-131.0 IP0 ER0 RA13 P
2026-05-101.2 IP0 ER0 RA17 P
2026-05-071.0 IP1 ER1 RA20 P
2026-05-061.1 IP1 ER1 RA23 P
Luinder Avila
Ready
Season ERA
5.28
Season WHIP
1.83
Bullpen rest
2 days rest
Last: 33 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
00020
+
Good formRecent workload looks normal
IP
5%
RA
5%
RA/IP
0.59
Rest
Ready
2 days rest
2.0 IP / 33 pitches
Inn.
1,2,3,4,5,6,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-05-142.0 IP0 ER0 RA33 P
2026-05-121.1 IP0 ER0 RA27 P
2026-05-081.0 IP0 ER0 RA18 P
2026-05-062.0 IP2 ER2 RA49 P
2026-05-022.0 IP0 ER0 RA23 P
Steven Cruz
Ready
Season ERA
8.31
Season WHIP
1.85
Bullpen rest
1 days rest
Last: 5 pitchesReady
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
10005
+
Poor formRecent workload looks normal
IP
3%
RA
5%
RA/IP
1.04
Rest
Ready
1 days rest
0.2 IP / 5 pitches
Inn.
6,7,8,9,11
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-05-150.2 IP0 ER1 RA5 P
2026-05-131.0 IP0 ER0 RA22 P
2026-05-101.0 IP0 ER0 RA21 P
2026-05-091.0 IP0 ER0 RA15 P
2026-04-081.1 IP5 ER5 RA41 P
Daniel Lynch IV
Limited
Season ERA
1.96
Season WHIP
0.82
Bullpen rest
1 days rest
Last: 20 pitchesLimited
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
00100
+
Good form20+ pitches last outing lowers next-day usage
IP
6%
RA
4%
RA/IP
0.38
Rest
Limited
1 days rest
1.0 IP / 20 pitches
Inn.
4,5,6,7,8,9,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-05-151.0 IP0 ER0 RA20 P
2026-05-121.0 IP0 ER0 RA13 P
2026-05-100.2 IP1 ER1 RA24 P
2026-05-071.0 IP0 ER0 RA15 P
2026-05-051.0 IP0 ER0 RA14 P
Bailey Falter
Limited
Season ERA
10.13
Season WHIP
2.63
Bullpen rest
0 days rest
Last: 28 pitchesLimited
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
132
+
Poor form20+ pitches last outing lowers next-day usage
IP
2%
RA
4%
RA/IP
1.12
Rest
Limited
0 days rest
2.0 IP / 28 pitches
Inn.
5,6,7,8,9
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-05-162.0 IP1 ER1 RA28 P
2026-04-010.1 IP3 ER3 RA20 P
2026-03-273.0 IP2 ER2 RA48 P
Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo#67
RStarter
Limited
Season ERA
3.76
Season WHIP
1.42
Starter rest
3 days rest
Last: 92 pitchesLimited
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
54270
+
Poor form3 days rest makes a short-rest start less likely
IP
16%
RA
14%
RA/IP
0.44
Rest
Limited
3 days rest
5.0 IP / 92 pitches
Inn.
1,2,3,4,5,6,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-05-135.0 IP5 ER5 RA92 P
2026-05-074.0 IP4 ER4 RA102 P
2026-05-026.0 IP2 ER2 RA103 P
2026-04-266.1 IP7 ER7 RA97 P
2026-04-207.0 IP0 ER0 RA93 P
Kris Bubic
Unlikely
Season ERA
4.11
Season WHIP
1.23
Starter rest
2 days rest
Last: 84 pitchesUnlikely
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
53113
+
Average formOnly 2 days rest does not fit normal starter usageTired
IP
15%
RA
14%
RA/IP
0.46
Rest
Unlikely
2 days rest
4.0 IP / 84 pitches
Inn.
1,2,3,4,5,6,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-05-144.0 IP5 ER5 RA84 P
2026-05-085.2 IP3 ER3 RA96 P
2026-05-037.0 IP1 ER1 RA94 P
2026-04-285.0 IP1 ER1 RA96 P
2026-04-216.0 IP3 ER3 RA100 P
Michael Wacha
Unlikely
Season ERA
2.83
Season WHIP
0.99
Starter rest
1 days rest
Last: 87 pitchesUnlikely
Runs allowed, last 5Newest first
30246
+
Shaky formOnly 1 days rest does not fit normal starter usageTired
IP
17%
RA
11%
RA/IP
0.31
Rest
Unlikely
1 days rest
6.0 IP / 87 pitches
Inn.
1,2,3,4,5,6,…
Last 5 outingsNewest first
2026-05-156.0 IP3 ER3 RA87 P
2026-05-097.0 IP0 ER0 RA89 P
2026-05-047.0 IP2 ER2 RA79 P
2026-04-295.0 IP4 ER4 RA105 P
2026-04-225.1 IP6 ER6 RA89 P