Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-1807:10Truist Park

Mets

Away

3-1

Braves

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	3	9	0
Braves	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.8

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 28%

Opponent allowing 37%

Braves scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 32%

Opponent allowing 33%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.3

Mets scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Braves scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.5

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Braves scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Braves defense

32%R 28% · RA 37%

Braves offense × Mets defense

32%R 32% · RA 33%

Sample 18Combined vs league +10pp

Last 20 65% · Season 54% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

53%

+0pp

4–6 Middle

54%

+1pp

7–9 Late

50%

-2pp

F5 first five

53%

-0pp

F9 full game

52%

-0pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

35 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 125Runs Allowed 134

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

40 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 187Runs Allowed 202

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	14% 5/35	17% 6/35	#229% 10/35	#329% 10/35	29% 10/35	20% 7/35	#129% 10/34	23% 7/30	26% 6/23	50% 1/2
Mets	RA	20% 7/35	#329% 10/35	20% 7/35	20% 7/35	29% 10/35	#131% 11/35	12% 4/33	#230% 9/30	19% 4/21	50% 1/2
Braves	R	#332% 13/40	20% 8/40	28% 11/40	22% 9/40	#238% 15/40	28% 11/40	#142% 17/40	19% 7/36	17% 5/29	29% 2/7
Braves	RA	25% 10/40	#238% 15/40	#140% 16/40	20% 8/40	30% 12/40	30% 12/40	32% 13/40	#336% 13/36	28% 8/29	86% 6/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.