Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-1707:08Petco Park

Cardinals

Away

3-5

Padres

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cardinals	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	8	1
Padres	0	0	0	4	0	1	0	0	X	5	7	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Cardinals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 45%

Padres scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.2

Cardinals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Padres scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.1

Cardinals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Padres scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Padres defense

30%R 15% · RA 45%

Padres offense × Cardinals defense

43%R 55% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp

Last 20 73% · Season 62% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

56%

+3pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-0pp

7–9 Late

50%

-1pp

F5 first five

50%

-2pp

F9 full game

53%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

40 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 177Runs Allowed 161

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

40 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 172Runs Allowed 134

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cardinals	R	#230% 12/40	#132% 13/40	#330% 12/40	20% 8/40	25% 10/40	22% 9/40	15% 6/39	26% 10/38	29% 8/28	67% 2/3
Cardinals	RA	28% 11/40	20% 8/40	28% 11/40	20% 8/40	#230% 12/40	#132% 13/40	#330% 12/40	24% 9/38	14% 4/29	0% 0/3
Padres	R	28% 11/40	#332% 13/40	25% 10/40	25% 10/40	22% 9/40	#142% 17/40	#235% 14/40	23% 9/39	26% 7/27	17% 1/6
Padres	RA	18% 7/40	#230% 12/40	#328% 11/40	12% 5/40	#132% 13/40	28% 11/40	12% 5/40	26% 10/39	16% 5/32	33% 2/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.