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Final
2021-05-1701:10Tropicana Field
Mets
Away
1-7
Rays
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +1pp
#2
Inn.8
Mets scoring tendency
21%
Own scoring 28%
Opponent allowing 15%
Rays scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 28%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp
#3
Inn.6
Mets scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Rays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Rays defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Rays offense × Mets defense
22%R 15% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +1pp
Last 20 55% · Season 49% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
45%
-8pp
4–6 Middle
43%
-10pp
7–9 Late
46%
-5pp
F5 first five
43%
-10pp
F9 full game
45%
-8pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

34 games
061218251112113152151331617418205618615471619813891110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 124Runs Allowed 127

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

41 games
091928381717114132192231521425185211161624730188191192910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 178Runs Allowed 164
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR15% 5/3418% 6/34#229% 10/34#329% 10/3429% 10/3418% 6/34#130% 10/3324% 7/2927% 6/2250% 1/2
RA21% 7/34#129% 10/3421% 7/3418% 6/3426% 9/34#229% 10/3412% 4/32#328% 8/2919% 4/2150% 1/2
RaysR27% 11/4117% 7/4124% 10/4115% 6/4127% 11/4127% 11/41#232% 13/41#332% 13/41#138% 12/3240% 2/5
RA22% 9/41#324% 10/4124% 10/41#227% 11/4122% 9/4120% 8/41#129% 12/4124% 10/4122% 8/3780% 4/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.