Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-1701:10Comerica Park

Cubs

Away

5-1

Tigers

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	0	1	1	0	3	0	0	0	5	10	0
Tigers	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	8	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Cubs scoring tendency

50%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 65%

Tigers scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +27pp

Inn.1

Cubs scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Tigers scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.3

Cubs scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Tigers scoring tendency

18%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Tigers defense

50%R 35% · RA 65%

Tigers offense × Cubs defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +27pp

Last 20 80% · Season 65% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

56%

+3pp

4–6 Middle

65%

+12pp

7–9 Late

41%

-10pp

F5 first five

61%

+8pp

F9 full game

54%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

38 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 172Runs Allowed 178

Tigers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

39 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 138Runs Allowed 203

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	#237% 14/38	29% 11/38	#139% 15/38	26% 10/38	26% 10/38	26% 10/38	19% 7/37	#330% 11/37	18% 5/28	71% 5/7
Cubs	RA	#234% 13/38	13% 5/38	21% 8/38	#334% 13/38	24% 9/38	#137% 14/38	32% 12/38	11% 4/37	7% 2/28	86% 6/7
Tigers	R	18% 7/39	21% 8/39	21% 8/39	#133% 13/39	#233% 13/39	21% 8/39	#321% 8/38	11% 4/35	17% 5/30	100% 3/3
Tigers	RA	33% 13/39	36% 14/39	28% 11/39	23% 9/39	#146% 18/39	36% 14/39	22% 8/37	#340% 14/35	#242% 10/24	67% 2/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.