Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-1607:10

Rangers

Away

5-6

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Rangers	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	5	9	0
Astros	4	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	X	6	12	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Rangers scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 15%

Astros scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 55%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.3

Rangers scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Astros scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.1

Rangers scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 15%

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rangers offense × Astros defense

25%R 35% · RA 15%

Astros offense × Rangers defense

43%R 30% · RA 55%

Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp

Last 20 68% · Season 58% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

65%

+12pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-0pp

7–9 Late

46%

-5pp

F5 first five

62%

+9pp

F9 full game

55%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Rangers — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

40 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 168Runs Allowed 183

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

39 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 204Runs Allowed 153

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rangers	R	28% 11/40	#132% 13/40	28% 11/40	#232% 13/40	18% 7/40	#330% 12/40	20% 8/40	22% 9/40	25% 8/32	67% 4/6
Rangers	RA	#232% 13/40	#332% 13/40	32% 13/40	32% 13/40	18% 7/40	22% 9/40	#140% 16/40	25% 10/40	23% 7/30	17% 1/6
Astros	R	26% 10/39	#336% 14/39	18% 7/39	#244% 17/39	33% 13/39	23% 9/39	23% 9/39	23% 9/39	#146% 13/28	67% 2/3
Astros	RA	21% 8/39	15% 6/39	#131% 12/39	26% 10/39	#231% 12/39	21% 8/39	21% 8/39	#331% 12/39	28% 9/32	33% 1/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.