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Final
2021-05-1510:10Petco Park
4-5
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Cardinals0000100214100
Padres10200110X540

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 45%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#2
Inn.2
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 15%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Padres defense
30%R 15% · RA 45%
Padres offense × Cardinals defense
35%R 45% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp
Last 20 65% · Season 58% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-5pp
7–9 Late
43%
-8pp
F5 first five
47%
-6pp
F9 full game
48%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

38 games
0918273724121181722920313104292351420691871315815896 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 170Runs Allowed 143

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

38 games
091929391610119212111931144152153124618672012812491610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 154Runs Allowed 127
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR#232% 12/38#134% 13/38#332% 12/3818% 7/3824% 9/3821% 8/3814% 5/3725% 9/3627% 7/2667% 2/3
RA24% 9/3818% 7/3824% 9/3821% 8/38#132% 12/38#229% 11/38#326% 10/3825% 9/3614% 4/290% 0/3
PadresR24% 9/38#232% 12/3821% 8/3826% 10/3824% 9/38#139% 15/38#332% 12/3824% 9/3726% 7/2717% 1/6
RA18% 7/38#132% 12/38#329% 11/3811% 4/38#232% 12/3826% 10/3811% 4/3824% 9/3713% 4/3033% 2/6

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.