Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-1407:10Tropicana Field

Yankees

Away

1-9

Rays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Yankees	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	5	1
Rays	2	0	2	0	0	3	0	2	X	9	10	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Yankees scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Rays scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +0pp

Inn.7

Yankees scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Rays scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +0pp

Inn.9

Yankees scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 33%

Opponent allowing 26%

Rays scoring tendency

21%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 17%

Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Yankees offense × Rays defense

28%R 25% · RA 30%

Rays offense × Yankees defense

25%R 25% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +0pp

Last 20 52% · Season 43% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

43%

-9pp

4–6 Middle

47%

-7pp

7–9 Late

49%

-2pp

F5 first five

44%

-9pp

F9 full game

46%

-6pp

Show team trends+

Yankees — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

36 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 142Runs Allowed 126

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

38 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 154Runs Allowed 156

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Yankees	R	17% 6/36	28% 10/36	#139% 14/36	22% 8/36	#233% 12/36	19% 7/36	22% 8/36	#333% 12/36	19% 5/27	57% 4/7
Yankees	RA	22% 8/36	#228% 10/36	#328% 10/36	#131% 11/36	14% 5/36	19% 7/36	25% 9/36	14% 5/36	23% 7/31	71% 5/7
Rays	R	24% 9/38	18% 7/38	24% 9/38	13% 5/38	#329% 11/38	26% 10/38	#234% 13/38	26% 10/38	#135% 11/31	40% 2/5
Rays	RA	#324% 9/38	24% 9/38	24% 9/38	#229% 11/38	21% 8/38	21% 8/38	#132% 12/38	24% 9/38	21% 7/34	80% 4/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.