Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-1401:05Nationals Park

Phillies

Away

1-5

Nationals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Phillies	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	0
Nationals	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	X	5	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Phillies scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 20%

Nationals scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Inn.3

Phillies scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Nationals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Inn.6

Phillies scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Nationals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Nationals defense

35%R 50% · RA 20%

Nationals offense × Phillies defense

22%R 15% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +5pp

Last 20 57% · Season 57% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

+0pp

4–6 Middle

46%

-8pp

7–9 Late

47%

-4pp

F5 first five

48%

-4pp

F9 full game

48%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

37 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 156Runs Allowed 157

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 113Runs Allowed 137

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Phillies	R	#141% 15/37	#235% 13/37	27% 10/37	14% 5/37	22% 8/37	#330% 11/37	24% 9/37	19% 7/36	29% 7/24	67% 4/6
Phillies	RA	#327% 10/37	8% 3/37	19% 7/37	19% 7/37	24% 9/37	27% 10/37	#131% 11/36	#231% 11/36	21% 6/29	50% 3/6
Nationals	R	22% 7/32	22% 7/32	#228% 9/32	22% 7/32	9% 3/32	#328% 9/32	22% 7/32	#130% 9/30	20% 5/25	50% 2/4
Nationals	RA	25% 8/32	25% 8/32	#131% 10/32	25% 8/32	25% 8/32	22% 7/32	#231% 10/32	20% 6/30	#326% 6/23	100% 4/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.