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Final
2021-05-1400:20Truist Park
8-4
Braves
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays0100200148130
Braves200002000460

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Braves scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Braves scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 44%
Braves scoring tendency
23%
Own scoring 17%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Braves defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Braves offense × Blue Jays defense
48%R 50% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 75% · Season 63% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+6pp
7–9 Late
49%
-1pp
F5 first five
56%
+3pp
F9 full game
53%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

35 games
091827371991252922617315264132152486141171915812192210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 169Runs Allowed 139

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

36 games
0102030403226116182142931414421215241862116792187895910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 163Runs Allowed 180
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR29% 10/3529% 10/35#234% 12/3523% 8/3523% 8/35#137% 13/3531% 11/35#333% 11/3321% 6/2850% 2/4
RA23% 8/35#137% 13/3523% 8/35#331% 11/35#237% 13/3517% 6/3520% 7/3527% 9/335% 1/2225% 1/4
BravesR#331% 11/3619% 7/3628% 10/3625% 9/36#239% 14/3628% 10/36#142% 15/3612% 4/3216% 4/2529% 2/7
RA28% 10/36#336% 13/36#142% 15/3619% 7/3628% 10/3631% 11/3631% 11/36#238% 12/3223% 6/2686% 6/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.