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Final
2021-05-1307:20Truist Park
4-1
Braves
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Braves scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Braves scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#3
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
41%
Own scoring 32%
Opponent allowing 50%
Braves scoring tendency
24%
Own scoring 17%
Opponent allowing 32%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Braves defense
43%R 40% · RA 45%
Braves offense × Blue Jays defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 70% · Season 65% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+5pp
7–9 Late
48%
-3pp
F5 first five
59%
+6pp
F9 full game
54%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

34 games
091827371991252922617315264132052386131171915810192210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 165Runs Allowed 138

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

35 games
0102030403226116182142931414420215241762115792187695910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 162Runs Allowed 176
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR29% 10/3429% 10/34#135% 12/3424% 8/3424% 8/34#235% 12/3429% 10/34#334% 11/3219% 5/2750% 2/4
RA24% 8/34#138% 13/3424% 8/34#332% 11/34#235% 12/3418% 6/3421% 7/3428% 9/325% 1/2125% 1/4
BravesR#331% 11/3520% 7/3529% 10/3526% 9/35#237% 13/3529% 10/35#143% 15/3513% 4/3117% 4/2429% 2/7
RA29% 10/35#337% 13/35#143% 15/3520% 7/3529% 10/3529% 10/3529% 10/35#239% 12/3120% 5/2586% 6/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.