Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-1307:10Tropicana Field

Yankees

Away

1-0

Rays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Yankees	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	6	0
Rays	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Yankees scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Rays scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +3pp

Inn.3

Yankees scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 55%

Opponent allowing 30%

Rays scoring tendency

12%

Own scoring 10%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +0pp

Inn.6

Yankees scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Rays scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Heating upCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Yankees offense × Rays defense

28%R 25% · RA 30%

Rays offense × Yankees defense

28%R 30% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +3pp

Last 20 55% · Season 44% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

47%

-6pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-2pp

7–9 Late

50%

-1pp

F5 first five

48%

-5pp

F9 full game

49%

-3pp

Show team trends+

Yankees — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

35 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 141Runs Allowed 126

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

37 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 154Runs Allowed 155

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Yankees	R	17% 6/35	29% 10/35	#140% 14/35	23% 8/35	#234% 12/35	20% 7/35	20% 7/35	#334% 12/35	19% 5/26	57% 4/7
Yankees	RA	23% 8/35	#229% 10/35	#329% 10/35	#131% 11/35	14% 5/35	20% 7/35	26% 9/35	14% 5/35	23% 7/30	71% 5/7
Rays	R	24% 9/37	19% 7/37	24% 9/37	14% 5/37	#330% 11/37	27% 10/37	#235% 13/37	27% 10/37	#137% 11/30	40% 2/5
Rays	RA	#324% 9/37	24% 9/37	24% 9/37	#130% 11/37	22% 8/37	22% 8/37	#230% 11/37	24% 9/37	21% 7/33	80% 4/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.