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Final
2021-05-1300:10Citi Field
1-7
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Orioles000000100150
Mets03103000X7100

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Orioles scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 22%
Mets scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 22%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.2
Orioles scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.5
Orioles scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Mets defense
31%R 40% · RA 22%
Mets offense × Orioles defense
31%R 22% · RA 40%
Sample 18Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 62% · Season 59% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
51%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
53%
-0pp
7–9 Late
44%
-7pp
F5 first five
52%
-1pp
F9 full game
49%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

36 games
081624331610181522421313204132651417611972423811693410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 137Runs Allowed 151

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

31 games
06121825111117152131331612413205618615371511813791110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 110Runs Allowed 111
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR#225% 9/3619% 7/3622% 8/36#325% 9/3625% 9/3625% 9/3625% 9/36#133% 11/3321% 6/2960% 3/5
RA19% 7/3622% 8/3625% 9/36#233% 12/36#333% 12/3631% 11/3619% 7/36#139% 13/3319% 5/2760% 3/5
MetsR16% 5/3113% 4/3126% 8/31#232% 10/3126% 8/3119% 6/31#133% 10/3023% 6/26#330% 6/2050% 1/2
RA19% 6/31#132% 10/3123% 7/3116% 5/31#329% 9/31#232% 10/3110% 3/2923% 6/2616% 3/1950% 1/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.