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Final
2021-05-1207:20Truist Park
5-3
Braves
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays0000020305110
Braves101001000370

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Braves scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +22pp
#2
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 50%
Braves scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 28%
Opponent allowing 44%
Braves scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 17%
Opponent allowing 33%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Braves defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Braves offense × Blue Jays defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +22pp
Last 20 75% · Season 64% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+6pp
7–9 Late
49%
-2pp
F5 first five
60%
+6pp
F9 full game
55%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games
091827371981252922616315264132052176131171615810192210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 160Runs Allowed 135

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

34 games
091929393126116182132931414420215231562115791887695910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 159Runs Allowed 171
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR30% 10/3330% 10/33#136% 12/3324% 8/3324% 8/33#233% 11/3330% 10/33#332% 10/3119% 5/2650% 2/4
RA21% 7/33#139% 13/3321% 7/33#333% 11/33#236% 12/3315% 5/3321% 7/3329% 9/315% 1/2025% 1/4
BravesR#329% 10/3421% 7/3426% 9/3426% 9/34#238% 13/3426% 9/34#144% 15/3413% 4/3017% 4/2329% 2/7
RA29% 10/34#238% 13/34#144% 15/3421% 7/3429% 10/3426% 9/3429% 10/34#337% 11/3021% 5/2486% 6/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.