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Final
2021-05-1207:10Citi Field
2-3
Mets
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Orioles scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Mets scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.5
Orioles scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.6
Orioles scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Mets defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Mets offense × Orioles defense
25%R 20% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 60% · Season 45% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
55%
+1pp
7–9 Late
37%
-14pp
F5 first five
53%
-0pp
F9 full game
48%
-5pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

35 games
081624331610181522421313204132651417610972322811493410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 135Runs Allowed 148

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

30 games
06121825111117152131331612413205618615271410811791110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 107Runs Allowed 109
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR#226% 9/3520% 7/3523% 8/35#326% 9/3526% 9/3526% 9/3523% 8/35#131% 10/3221% 6/2860% 3/5
RA20% 7/3523% 8/3526% 9/35#234% 12/35#334% 12/3531% 11/3520% 7/35#138% 12/3215% 4/2660% 3/5
MetsR17% 5/3013% 4/30#327% 8/30#233% 10/3027% 8/3020% 6/30#134% 10/2920% 5/2526% 5/1950% 1/2
RA20% 6/30#133% 10/3023% 7/3017% 5/30#330% 9/30#233% 10/307% 2/2820% 5/2517% 3/1850% 1/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.