Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-1206:10Progressive Field

Cubs

Away

2-3

Guardians

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2	11	0
Guardians	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	X	3	5	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Cubs scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Guardians scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp

Inn.3

Cubs scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 45%

Guardians scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.5

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Guardians scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Guardians defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Guardians offense × Cubs defense

40%R 45% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp

Last 20 75% · Season 59% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

59%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

62%

+9pp

7–9 Late

44%

-7pp

F5 first five

62%

+9pp

F9 full game

55%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

34 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 157Runs Allowed 162

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 136Runs Allowed 121

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	#138% 13/34	29% 10/34	#238% 13/34	29% 10/34	21% 7/34	26% 9/34	21% 7/33	#333% 11/33	21% 5/24	80% 4/5
Cubs	RA	#135% 12/34	15% 5/34	24% 8/34	#332% 11/34	24% 8/34	#235% 12/34	32% 11/34	12% 4/33	8% 2/25	80% 4/5
Guardians	R	22% 7/32	28% 9/32	22% 7/32	#331% 10/32	16% 5/32	#144% 14/32	22% 7/32	#238% 12/32	20% 5/25	67% 2/3
Guardians	RA	25% 8/32	#231% 10/32	#138% 12/32	25% 8/32	22% 7/32	6% 2/32	#328% 9/32	16% 5/32	22% 6/27	33% 1/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.