Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-1106:35PNC Park

Reds

Away

14-1

Pirates

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	0	1	0	6	0	1	3	3	0	14	15	0
Pirates	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Reds scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 50%

Pirates scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.1

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Pirates scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.4

Reds scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 25%

Pirates scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Pirates defense

38%R 25% · RA 50%

Pirates offense × Reds defense

28%R 20% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp

Last 20 65% · Season 58% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

49%

-4pp

7–9 Late

41%

-10pp

F5 first five

53%

-0pp

F9 full game

49%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

31 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 157Runs Allowed 161

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 116Runs Allowed 146

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	26% 8/31	16% 5/31	#329% 9/31	29% 9/31	#135% 11/31	#235% 11/31	26% 8/31	19% 6/31	17% 4/24	100% 7/7
Reds	RA	#232% 10/31	#135% 11/31	26% 8/31	#332% 10/31	23% 7/31	29% 9/31	29% 9/31	26% 8/31	27% 6/22	29% 2/7
Pirates	R	#127% 9/33	#227% 9/33	21% 7/33	21% 7/33	21% 7/33	21% 7/33	21% 7/33	#326% 8/31	12% 3/26	100% 1/1
Pirates	RA	#152% 17/33	#336% 12/33	#239% 13/33	24% 8/33	24% 8/33	33% 11/33	28% 9/32	23% 7/31	15% 3/20	0% 0/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.