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Final
2021-05-1002:20Wrigley Field
6-5
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Pirates4020000006110
Cubs010100003562

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Pirates scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.3
Pirates scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.6
Pirates scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense
28%R 20% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Pirates defense
45%R 45% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 73% · Season 75% · -3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
61%
+8pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+4pp
7–9 Late
40%
-11pp
F5 first five
59%
+6pp
F9 full game
53%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games
01122334514361201929133139412165102061213712987691 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 110Runs Allowed 141

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games
091928382428114152241231919415135173061119717786795610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 152Runs Allowed 156
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR#325% 8/32#128% 9/3219% 6/3222% 7/3222% 7/3222% 7/3222% 7/32#227% 8/3012% 3/25100% 1/1
RA#153% 17/32#334% 11/32#241% 13/3222% 7/3225% 8/3234% 11/3229% 9/3123% 7/3011% 2/190% 0/1
CubsR#139% 13/3327% 9/33#239% 13/3327% 9/3321% 7/3327% 9/3322% 7/32#334% 11/3217% 4/2380% 4/5
RA#233% 11/3315% 5/3321% 7/33#333% 11/3324% 8/33#136% 12/3333% 11/3312% 4/328% 2/2480% 4/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.