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Final
2021-05-1002:10
4-7
Astros
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays0000400004110
Astros01240000X790

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Astros scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 10%
Astros scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#3
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Astros scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Astros defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Astros offense × Blue Jays defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 65% · Season 62% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
51%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+5pp
7–9 Late
50%
-2pp
F5 first five
56%
+3pp
F9 full game
53%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games
08172635198125282261431522492052176131171615810192210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 156Runs Allowed 128

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games
081624331511118102141432619419215141461511717188241593210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.91.92.83.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 165Runs Allowed 135
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR31% 10/3231% 10/32#138% 12/3225% 8/3222% 7/32#234% 11/3231% 10/32#333% 10/3020% 5/2550% 2/4
RA22% 7/32#138% 12/3219% 6/32#331% 10/32#238% 12/3216% 5/3222% 7/3230% 9/305% 1/2025% 1/4
AstrosR24% 8/33#330% 10/3315% 5/33#248% 16/3330% 10/3324% 8/3327% 9/3321% 7/33#150% 13/26100% 1/1
RA21% 7/3315% 5/33#330% 10/3324% 8/33#233% 11/3321% 7/3321% 7/3327% 9/33#135% 9/26100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.