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Final
2021-05-0907:10
8-4
Astros
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays023000003850
Astros000210010491

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Astros scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 10%
Astros scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Astros scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Astros defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Astros offense × Blue Jays defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 62% · Season 60% · +2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
50%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+5pp
7–9 Late
50%
-1pp
F5 first five
55%
+1pp
F9 full game
53%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

31 games
0817263519812328223143152049195217613117161487192210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 148Runs Allowed 124

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games
07152230151111882141132419418215141461511716188241293210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.91.92.83.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 161Runs Allowed 127
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR32% 10/3129% 9/31#135% 11/3126% 8/3123% 7/31#235% 11/3132% 10/31#334% 10/2917% 4/2450% 2/4
RA23% 7/31#139% 12/3119% 6/31#329% 9/31#235% 11/3116% 5/3123% 7/3128% 8/295% 1/1925% 1/4
AstrosR25% 8/32#331% 10/3216% 5/32#247% 15/3228% 9/3225% 8/3228% 9/3219% 6/32#152% 13/25100% 1/1
RA22% 7/3212% 4/32#328% 9/3225% 8/32#134% 11/3222% 7/3222% 7/3228% 9/32#232% 8/25100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.