Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-0906:10Progressive Field

Reds

Away

2-9

Guardians

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	7	2
Guardians	1	1	0	4	0	3	0	0	X	9	11	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Guardians scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.3

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Guardians scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Inn.2

Reds scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 10%

Opponent allowing 40%

Guardians scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Guardians defense

28%R 20% · RA 35%

Guardians offense × Reds defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp

Last 20 62% · Season 57% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

53%

+1pp

4–6 Middle

56%

+2pp

7–9 Late

45%

-6pp

F5 first five

55%

+2pp

F9 full game

51%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

30 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 155Runs Allowed 152

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

31 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 127Runs Allowed 119

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	27% 8/30	17% 5/30	27% 8/30	#330% 9/30	#137% 11/30	#237% 11/30	27% 8/30	20% 6/30	13% 3/23	100% 7/7
Reds	RA	#230% 9/30	#133% 10/30	27% 8/30	#330% 9/30	23% 7/30	27% 8/30	30% 9/30	27% 8/30	27% 6/22	29% 2/7
Guardians	R	19% 6/31	26% 8/31	23% 7/31	#329% 9/31	16% 5/31	#142% 13/31	23% 7/31	#239% 12/31	20% 5/25	67% 2/3
Guardians	RA	26% 8/31	#232% 10/31	#135% 11/31	26% 8/31	23% 7/31	6% 2/31	#329% 9/31	16% 5/31	19% 5/26	33% 1/3

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.