Scoring Analysis

Final

2021-05-0904:05Oracle Park

Padres

Away

1-7

Giants

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Padres	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	6	1
Giants	0	3	0	0	1	1	0	2	X	7	11	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Padres scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 27%

Opponent allowing 57%

Giants scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 33%

Opponent allowing 24%

Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp

Inn.6

Padres scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Giants scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.5

Padres scoring tendency

15%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 10%

Giants scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Giants defense

42%R 27% · RA 57%

Giants offense × Padres defense

28%R 33% · RA 24%

Sample 12Combined vs league +23pp

Last 20 70% · Season 52% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

42%

-10pp

4–6 Middle

51%

-3pp

7–9 Late

51%

-0pp

F5 first five

43%

-10pp

F9 full game

48%

-4pp

Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 127Runs Allowed 112

Giants — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 143Runs Allowed 112

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Padres	R	27% 9/33	#330% 10/33	21% 7/33	30% 10/33	18% 6/33	#139% 13/33	#233% 11/33	24% 8/33	25% 6/24	17% 1/6
Padres	RA	15% 5/33	#330% 10/33	#133% 11/33	12% 4/33	#233% 11/33	24% 8/33	12% 4/33	18% 6/33	14% 4/28	33% 2/6
Giants	R	25% 8/32	22% 7/32	25% 8/32	16% 5/32	#134% 11/32	25% 8/32	#234% 11/32	17% 5/30	#326% 5/19	75% 3/4
Giants	RA	#322% 7/32	16% 5/32	16% 5/32	16% 5/32	12% 4/32	22% 7/32	#225% 8/32	17% 5/30	#138% 9/24	75% 3/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.