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Final
2021-05-0902:20Wrigley Field
2-3
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Pirates000200000271
Cubs10010010X351

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Pirates scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.1
Pirates scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.6
Pirates scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense
20%R 15% · RA 25%
Cubs offense × Pirates defense
50%R 50% · RA 50%
Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 70% · Season 62% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+9pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+4pp
7–9 Late
40%
-11pp
F5 first five
59%
+6pp
F9 full game
53%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

31 games
01122334414351201929133118412165102061212712987691 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 108Runs Allowed 138

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games
091928382328114152241231817415135173061019717786795610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 149Runs Allowed 154
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR#326% 8/31#129% 9/3119% 6/3119% 6/3123% 7/3123% 7/3123% 7/31#228% 8/2912% 3/24100% 1/1
RA#152% 16/31#335% 11/31#242% 13/3119% 6/3126% 8/3135% 11/3127% 8/3024% 7/2911% 2/190% 0/1
CubsR#238% 12/3228% 9/32#141% 13/3225% 8/3222% 7/3228% 9/3219% 6/31#335% 11/3117% 4/2380% 4/5
RA#234% 11/3216% 5/3222% 7/3231% 10/3225% 8/32#138% 12/32#334% 11/3213% 4/319% 2/2380% 4/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.